FORTY-FOUR years ago today, a clothing company owner named Abraham Zapruder filmed the assassination of John F. Kennedy in Dallas. And for 44 years, most people have presumed that his home movie captured the assassination in its entirety. This presumption has led to deep misunderstandings.
The majority of witnesses in Dealey Plaza heard three shots fired. Lawmen found three cartridges in Lee Harvey Oswald’s nest on the sixth floor of the Texas School Book Depository. Yet Zapruder’s film captured only two shots clearly. As a result, the film has been scoured for evidence of another shot, presumably the first one fired at the president. Research has yielded contradictory findings.
But what if Zapruder simply hadn’t turned on his camera in time?
Zapruder’s 26-second movie has two distinct parts. Approximately seven seconds after he started filming from the north side of Elm Street, Zapruder stopped his Bell & Howell Zoomatic at frame 132 because only Dallas police motorcycles were driving by. He did not restart his camera until the president’s limousine was clearly in view. Consequently, Z 133 is the first frame to actually show the president’s Lincoln—a frame exposed several seconds after the car had made the sharp turn onto Elm Street from Houston Street, and, we believe, after Oswald had squeezed off his first shot.
Several witnesses saw a man firing from the sixth floor. No one’s recollection about the first shot was more precise, though, than that of a ninth grader named Amos L. Euins. He told the Dallas County sheriff, “About the time the car got near the black and white sign, I heard a shot.”
As the photograph from a December 1963 restaging shows, the president’s limousine would have passed a black and white sign before Zapruder restarted his camera (the ghost image here approximates the location of the Lincoln at the moment Zapruder started his camera again). View this photo.
If one discards the notion that Zapruder recorded the shooting sequence in full, it has the virtue of solving several puzzles that have consistently defied explanation. The most exasperating one is how did Oswald, who was able to hit President Kennedy in his upper back at a distance of around 190 feet, and then in the head at a distance of 265 feet, manage to miss so badly on the first and closest shot?
A first shot earlier than anyone has ever posited gives a plausible answer. About 1.4 seconds before Zapruder restarted filming, a horizontal traffic mast extending over Elm Street temporarily obscured Oswald’s view of his target. That mast was never examined during any of the official investigations. Yet if this mast deflected the first shot, that would surely explain why the bullet missed not only the president, but the whole limousine. Significantly, the highway sign cited by Amos Euins was just a few feet west of the traffic light’s vertical post in 1963.
In May 1964, with the help of surveyors, the Warren Commission first considered the idea that a shot could have been fired before Zapruder restarted his camera. The commission later heard testimony that included references to what the staff labeled “Position A.” It did not appear on the Zapruder film, but represented the “first point at which a person in the sixth-floor window of the book building . . . could have gotten a shot at the president after the car had rounded the corner.”
If the commission had followed up this insight, it would have conceivably been able to describe the duration and intervals of the shooting sequence: that Oswald fired three shots in approximately 11.2 seconds, with intervals of 6.3 seconds and 4.9 seconds between the shots.
Why would this have mattered? Because the lack of a clear explanation for the shooting sequence was a key reason the Warren Report fell into disrepute.
And why has it taken so long to realize that the assassination and the Zapruder film are not one and the same? Part of the answer lies in the power of the film itself. As the critic Richard B. Woodward wrote in The Times in 2003, the assassination became “fused with one representation, so much so that Kennedy’s death is virtually unimaginable without Zapruder’s film.” To that, one has to add the element of distraction. The Warren Commission did not pursue its May 1964 insight because it was fixated not on the shot that missed but on the ones that killed the president.
If this belated revelation changes nothing from one perspective—Oswald still did it—it simultaneously changes everything, if only because it disrupts the state of mind of everyone who has ever been transfixed by the Zapruder film. The film, we realize, does not depict an assassination about to commence. It shows one that had already started.
Reprinted from The New York Times © 2007, The New York Times Company
All rights reserved.
Editor’s Postscript:
Not surprisingly, the radical explanation presented here (and earlier, in “11 Seconds in Dallas, Not Six”) has come under attack. Somewhat surprisingly, the most vociferous critics have not been conspiracy theorists, but come from the ranks of those who agree that Lee Harvey Oswald was the sole assassin in Dealey Plaza.
These critics are not only wedded to the Zapruder film for intellectual and emotional reasons. The most strident have a vested interest in an explanation that literally depends on the belief that the film equals the assassination. They are unable to conceive that anything of moment occurred outside the film, even though it is now patently clear that the notion that Zapruder captured the assassination in full was never more than an unwarranted presumption, however understandable.
The photograph that accompanied The New York Times Op-Ed—which depicted, from Oswald’s perspective, how belatedly Zapruder began filming—has not been challenged in any meaningful way. In their heated effort to impeach the one picture that says it all, the oft-condescending critics embrace the pettifoggery that has long been the hallmark of conspiracy theorists.
They also gloss over a critical and inconvenient fact. The initial essay found that three shots fired in approximately 11 seconds is in accord with five evidentiary considerations: ear-witness testimony; eyewitness statements; the fact that the first shot fired missed; Oswald’s mentality (which is, admittedly, a subjective issue); and lastly, the Warren Commission’s discovery of “Position A” in May 1964.
To these five, a Seattle lawyer named Ken Scearce recently, and independently, added a sixth consideration: the Zapruder film itself. Altogether, no other explanation previously offered fits all these six elements as neatly and plausibly. No other explanation comports with the balance and totality of all the available evidence.
The same cannot be said for explanations that stubbornly insist the assassination must fit within the mesmerizing time and space defined by the Zapruder film because . . . well, just because it has always been that way.
An expanded version of the “11 Seconds” analysis is being prepared, and will incorporate additional evidentiary elements.



You fail to mention the audio tape presented by acoustic experts at the end of the 1978 House Congressional Investigation on Assasinations.
A scientific analysis of the dictabelt recording WAS MATCHED TO THE ZAPRUDER FILM and concluded that FOUR shots were fired - AND THE FINAL SHOT ORIGINATED FROM THE GRASSY KNOLL. The two scientists also claimed that there was a 95% probability that the timing and origin of the shots heard on the tape were accurate.
As a result of this evidence, the House concluded that it was a CONSPIRACY and that there were at least TWO shooters in Dealy Plaza.
At this date, to suggest that the Zapruder film was an incomplete visual and that Oswald was the lone assassin, despite all the evidence to the contrary, is quite puzzling.
Posted by: TruthIsAll | 23 November 2007 at 12:48 PM
The House finding was junk science and has been thoroughly discredited for decades. See Vincent Bugliosi's book, RECLAIMING HISTORY, for all the details you could possibly want.
Posted by: Max Holland | 23 November 2007 at 01:13 PM
Did you even look at the Zapruder film? Kennedy is clearly waving to the crowd just before the limo becomes hidden by the sign.
The first movement Kerry [sic] makes after being shot is to grab his throat - an entry wound. It's right there on the film.
Do you really expect anyone to believe you and not believe their own eyes?
This is truly pathetic.
Posted by: ttruthisall | 23 November 2007 at 07:52 PM
Holland/Rush are attempting to explain what the Warren Commission and HSCA could not explain: how Oswald fired all three shots and only two shots struck the occupants of the limo. They are quite correct in pointing out that the mainstream explanations to date do not fit the evidence, particularly the witness evidence that the last two shots were noticeably closer together than the first two.
According to the SBT, the second shot was 5 seconds before the last and the about 3 seconds after the first. This obviously does not fit the shot pattern heard and clearly recalled by at least 48 witnesses (last two closer together). This is the reason Holland/Rush suggest that the first shot was very early. But they are looking in the wrong place. There is a raft of evidence that does not fit their theory - it is not just the zfilm.
One has to look at all the evidence. The evidence is overwhelming that Oswald fired three shots and that the last two were close together. Set aside preconceptions that JBC has been shot at z224. He was hit on the second shot - that is the evidence. The second shot was close to the third but still within the time required for Oswald to fire - but barely. That is the evidence.
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The evidence, then, puts the second shot hitting JBC at about 2.3 seconds before the last shot (frame 313) or at about frame 271. And not so remarkably, you will find a great deal of evidence that this is where JBC was hit. That explanation fits ALL the evidence very nicely and fits the conclusion that Oswald fired all the shots.
Andrew Mason
Posted by: Andrew Mason | 13 January 2008 at 02:17 AM
The 11 second theory would support conspiracy not a lone nut on the sixth floor. Do the math ... First shot strikes signal pole. Second shot strikes JFK and Connally (assuming Single Bullet Theory). Third shot hits JFK in the head. A fourth shot strikes curb near James Tague near triple underpass. That is four shots. If Single Bullet Theory is false, you have one more ... five shots. Three spent Carcano shells on the sixth floor suggest more shooters under this unlikely scenario. Clearly the author is not familiar with the case.
Posted by: Lee Bowers | 17 January 2008 at 12:04 AM
A recent discussion about The Witnesses and what they heard would tend to support the early shot theory proposed by Max Holland. Witness recollections are suspect for various reasons and police have learned through experience they can be unreliable. However, it doesn't make sense that 100% of witnesses always get it wrong either. In the discussion mentioned above the question was asked: What are the implications if a majority of witness testimony about the number, sequence, and timing of the shots is assumed to be accurate?
The majority of witnesses describe 3 shots close together, with the last 2 closer than the first 2 shots. Not all witnesses heard it that way. Some say the first 2 shots were closer together and others say they were evenly spaced.
Assuming the majority to be correct and knowing the timing of the last 2 shots relative to the Zapruder film, extending the timing backwards would indicate when the first shot was fired at the Presidential Limousine. Therefore, based on the auricular perception by the majority of witnesses the first shot had to be at, or prior to, frame Z133. This is the exact frame when Zapruder started filming again after a pause.
There is corroboration by a photographer Gary Mack considers to be a reliable witness that Z133 is when the first shot was fired. This particular witness has been ignored until now because the presumption was the first shot was fired much later around Z180-Z190, which would indicate a majority of witnesses heard it backwards.
Using Z133 as the first shot would separate the timing sequence almost in half: 5.0 sec + 4.8 sec = 9.8 sec total. For the auricular perception to be even more distinct, the first shot would need to be prior to frame Z133. Max Holland's new theory is the only explanation that fits the perception of what a majority of earwitnesess in Dealey Plaza claimed to hear.
Posted by: Historicus | 16 February 2008 at 05:49 PM
There may be photographic evidence to support the Holland-Rush theory that a bullet struck the horizontal traffic mast over Elm Street. Take a look at the magnified version of this photo and notice a gleam on the mast that looks like a reflection of sunlight. It appears to be on line with a trajectory connecting the 6th floor window and where the Limousine just passed by (the place where the VP convertible is now positioned). It may just be a random spot caused when the photo was developed but how strange it would be right on line between the street and the 6th floor window. Is this just an amazing coincidence or evidence no one ever noticed before this theory was proposed?
Altgens photo
http://jfkhistory.com/pix/altgensBIG.jpg
Posted by: Historicus | 16 December 2009 at 10:53 PM